- Detroit (8-3) is a 3.5-point road favorite over the Saints (5-6) in Week 13 of the NFL season
- Derek Carr was 0 for 5 in the red zone in a 24-15 loss to the division-rival Falcons
- Sunday’s contest kicks off from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA at 1:00pm ET
Two struggling quarterbacks will face off in the Big Easy in week 13. Jared Goff has been responsible for six Lions turnovers in the past two weeks while Derek Carr’s red zone struggles killed the Saints in a huge division-loss to the Falcons.
Which club will rebound on Sunday? Before we check the odds on this all-NFC matchup and make our picks, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.
Saints vs Lions
Thanksgiving spoiled
Jared Goff fumbled three times in a 29-22 loss to the division-rival Packers on Thursday as the Lions lost their seventh-straight Thanksgiving Day game. While his team leads the NFC North with an 8-3 record, Dan Campbell has a lot to be concerned about. His veteran QB has six turnovers over the past two games and his defense was gobbled up by Jordan Love, who passed for 268 yards and three touchdowns.
With a tough final stretch that includes two matchups with the Vikings and battles with the Broncos and Cowboys, Detroit must get back on track against a Saints team that has lost two-straight.
Make that 2️⃣ turnovers for Jared Goff pic.twitter.com/sgKzIUcC4Y
— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) November 23, 2023
Carr’s red zone struggles
New Orleans was 0 for 5 in the red zone with two turnovers inside the Falcons’ 10-yard line in Sunday’s 24-15 loss to their division rivals. Derek Carr tossed a game-changing 92-yard pick-six to Jessie Bates in the first quarter. The veteran signal-caller hasn’t thrown a touchdown since November 5th.
Four-time Pro Bowl cornerback Marshon Lattimore was placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury and will miss the game with the Lions. Even at 5-6, the Saints are still in the mix for the NFC South crown with 5-6 Atlanta and 4-7 Tampa Bay.
New Orleans vs Detroit
New Orleans is a 3.5-point home underdog at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday and the over/under is set as 45.5 points. The Lions are the NFL’s seventh-highest scoring team, averaging 26.7 points per game. They rank No. 3 in passing yards (268.5) and No. 6 in rushing (136.9) thanks to a dynamic two-headed attack featuring rookie Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery.
Dennis Allen’s club ranks middle of the pack in scoring (20.8 points per game) and rushing yards (104.4) and sit just outside the top ten in passing yards per game (242.7).
Derek Carr red zone pick 6 😂😂 pic.twitter.com/8DGYDB87Uc
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) November 26, 2023
Lions to pound the rock?
The Saints are giving up the 10th-most rushing yards per game (124.0) and Dan Campbell will be dying to run the ball to take the pressure off Jared Goff.
However, Lions’ opponents are averaging 29 points per game over the past five weeks. Derek Carr will need to convert early red-zone opportunities to keep Detroit out of their preferred run-heavy game script.
Best Bet
Detroit is coming off 10 days rest after not playing since Thanksgiving. But their defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone in recent weeks and Goff traditionally struggles on the road.
We like the Saints to cover (+3.5) and maybe even win outright (+165) at home with the UNDER 45.5.
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
