- Oddmakers expect Super Bowl 58 to open with a San Francisco TD (+180) or Kansas City TD (+190)
- Interception (-155) is favored to be the game’s first turnover over fumble (+170)
- Super Bowl 58 kicks off from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV at 6 pm ET on Feb. 11, 2024
Kansas City staged a 10-point comeback to defeat San Francisco 31-20 in Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium four years ago. With the ninth Super Bowl rematch in NFL history set to kick off in Las Vegas, football fans can expect fireworks on February 11.
Today, we’ll look at some Game Props, including First Score, First Turnover and Margin of Victory. But first, be sure to check out the best Super Bowl 58 betting tips and find smart advice on how to bet on 2024 Super Bowl Props.
First Score of Game
Niners to strike first?
A San Francisco touchdown (+180) is the slight favorite to be the first score of Super Bowl 58. The 49ers averaged 6.1 first quarter points (No. 4 in the NFL) during the season. However, Kyle Shanahan’s club failed to put points on the board on their first drive against both the Packers and Lions this postseason. Meanwhile, Kansas City had an opening drive TD against both the Dolphins and Ravens, while settling for a field goal versus Buffalo. A Chiefs TD (+190) looks like the better bet.
A KC field goal (+375) also feels safer than a SF FG (+385) given that Niners’ rookie Jake Moody missed a kick in both playoff games. If you’re wagering on either club to open the Super Bowl with a safety (+5000), we prefer a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 2 in sacks per game (3.2).
CAPTION THIS:
Kyle Shanahan x Brock Purdy #49ers 👀 pic.twitter.com/LibuLie1By— 49ers & NFL News 24/7 (@49ersSportsTalk) January 29, 2024
First Turnover of Game
Costly mistakes
Limiting turnovers in the Super Bowl is crucial. Teams that committed zero turnovers in the game have a combined 20-3 record. You can pick Interception (-155), Fumble (+170) or no turnovers (+700).
Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions in KC’s 31-9 loss to the Buccaneers three years ago, but had zero in the Chiefs’ 38-35 triumph over Philadelphia last season. Brock Purdy tossed his first career playoff pick against Detroit in the NFC Championship, but is far from turnover prone. While it might be tempting to forecast a clean game, there have only been two Super Bowls out of 57 without a turnover.
Margin of Victory
Blowout or close game?
San Francisco opened as a 2.5-point favorite in Super Bowl 58 with the line moving a point-and-a-half towards the Chiefs before bouncing back and forth. Either way, oddsmakers expect a close one. Right now, you can get the Niners to win by 1 to 6 points at +300 and KC at +320.
However, there is money to be made if you properly forecast a blowout. The case for the 49ers is that they won 12 regular-season games by an average of 19 points (No. 2 in the NFL). A 19 to 24-point victory over KC is currently at +1400.
WILD: This year is the fourth time there has been a Super Bowl rematch between HC’s
1. Chuck Noll vs. Tom Landry
2. Jimmy Johnson vs. Marv Levy
3. Tom Coughlin vs. Bill BelichickNow, Andy Reid vs. Kyle Shanahan
All 3 that won the first also WON the second
(@NFLResearch) pic.twitter.com/9wDq2l4bjs
— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) January 29, 2024
Best Bet
Patrick Mahomes lost Super Bowl 55 to Tampa Bay by 22 points. But, there’s no way that’s happening again. A more plausible scenario is the two-time NFL and Super Bowl MVP dismantling the 49ers like he did in their last meeting.
Mahomes passed for 423 yards and three touchdowns in a 44-23 victory over San Francisco back in October 2022. A 19 to 24-point win by the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58 is available at +1600. While a blowout is unlikely, this longshot wager isn’t outside the realm of possibility.
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
